Codex 28-day pledge: the day-by-day log
Tibo pledged publicly that for the next 28 days, every day would bring either a new improvement or a full reset of Codex. The pledge promises one or the other, not a reset every day. This page logs how each day was kept and uses it to estimate the odds of the next reset.
Progress · In progress
- Days logged
- 1 / 28
- Improvement days
- 1
- Reset days
- 0
- Pledge ends
The pledge in his words
Over the next 28 days, each day we’ll either ship one thing that is a clear improvement and relevant for most codex/work users or ship a full reset. Let the improvements begin.
Day-by-day log
| Day | What happened | Details | Post |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | Improvement shipped | We have optimized the default speed to be ~50% faster across GPT-6 Astra and GPT-6.1 Sol through the subscription across all our products and partners using Sign in With ChatGPT… | View |
How it changes the odds of a reset
The pledge makes a reset on any given day more likely than usual, but it promises an improvement or a reset, not both. We treat every logged day as one observation: the larger the share of past days that were resets, the higher the next estimate; the more improvement days, the lower.
Current estimate: 33% in the next 24 hours, 60% within 3 days.
based on the 1 day logged so far in Tibo's 28-day pledge (0 of them resets)
FAQ
Does the 28-day pledge mean a reset every day?
No. In Tibo's words, every day brings either an improvement or a full reset. A reset is just one way to keep the pledge.
When does the pledge start?
It starts with the post where Tibo made it. The end date shown on this page is counted as 28 days from there.
How is the reset probability calculated?
Every logged day in the pledge counts as one observation: more reset days push the estimate up. Tibo's latest posts add a limited adjustment. The method is on the methodology page.
How often is the data updated?
The collector checks Tibo's latest posts about once a minute, and a newly logged day shows up here within a few minutes.